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Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Discuss briefly the Continuous Probability Distribution

The Normal Distribution/ Continuous Probability, also called the Gaussian distribution, is an important family of continuous probability distributions, applicable in many fields. Each member of the family may be defined by two parameters, location and scale: the mean ("average", μ) and variance ("variability", σ2), respectively. The Standard Normal Distribution is the normal distribution with a mean of zero and a variance of one (the green curves in the plots to the right). Carl Friedrich Gauss became associated with this set of distributions when he analyzed astronomical data using them [1], and defined the equation of its probability density function. It is often called the bell curve because the graph of its probability density resembles a bell.

The importance of the normal distribution as a model of quantitative phenomena in the natural and behavioral sciences is due to the central limit theorem. Many psychological measurements and physical phenomena (like noise) can be approximated well by the normal distribution. While the mechanisms underlying these phenomena are often unknown, the use of the normal model can be theoretically justified by assuming that many small, independent effects are additively contributing to each observation.

The normal distribution also arises in many areas of statistics. For example, the sampling distribution of the sample mean is approximately normal, even if the distribution of the population from which the sample is taken is not normal. In addition, the normal distribution maximizes information entropy among all distributions with known mean and variance, which makes it the natural choice of underlying distribution for data summarized in terms of sample mean and variance. The normal distribution is the most widely used family of distributions in statistics and many statistical tests are based on the assumption of normality. In probability theory, normal distributions arise as the limiting distributions of several continuous and discrete families of distributions.

So far in this subsection, we have been concerned with discrete probability distributions (Binomial and Poisson). In this section, we shall turn to cases in which the variable can take on any value within a given range and in which the probability distribution is continuous.

A very important continuous probability distribution is the normal distribution. Several mathematicians were instrumental in its development, including the eighteenth-century mathematician-astronomer Karl Gauss. In honour of his work, the normal probability distribution is often called the Gaussian distribution.

There are two basic reasons why the normal distribution occupies such a prominent place in statistics. First, it has some properties that make it applicable to a great many situations in which it is necessary to make inferences by taking samples. In subsequent units, we will find that the normal distribution is a useful sampling distribution. Second, the normal distribution comes close to fitting the actual observed frequency distributions of many phenomena, including human characteristics (weights, heights, and IQs), outputs from physical processes (dimensions and yields), and other measures of interest to managers in both the public and private sectors.

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